Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.121206 0.149340 0.180019 0.215664 0.255649 0.298847 0.348771
2025-03-23 0.086431 0.123743 0.168154 0.223676 0.290034 0.365697 0.457388
2025-03-30 0.058423 0.098622 0.151035 0.221320 0.310218 0.416296 0.549841
2025-04-06 0.039839 0.080298 0.138169 0.221035 0.331191 0.467730 0.644969
2025-04-13 0.028333 0.068465 0.131221 0.226486 0.358540 0.527322 0.751730
2025-04-20 0.020560 0.059903 0.126974 0.234290 0.388491 0.590658 0.864702
2025-04-27 0.014657 0.052378 0.122611 0.240765 0.416185 0.651404 0.975634
2025-05-04 0.009379 0.043505 0.114014 0.239331 0.431888 0.696071 1.066366
2025-05-11 0.006292 0.037961 0.109971 0.244116 0.456129 0.752379 1.173101
2025-05-18 0.003631 0.031373 0.102330 0.241789 0.469101 0.793000 1.259361
2025-05-25 0.001489 0.023392 0.089507 0.228698 0.464293 0.807882 1.310607
2025-06-01 0.000739 0.020036 0.085954 0.231396 0.483711 0.857168 1.409117
2025-06-08 0.000192 0.015415 0.077941 0.225064 0.488690 0.886371 1.481651
2025-06-15 0.000080 0.014434 0.079390 0.237118 0.524109 0.960868 1.618472
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.011771 0.075008 0.236915 0.538957 1.005172 1.713673
2025-06-29 NaN 0.009677 0.071488 0.237942 0.555679 1.052424 1.813598
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008501 0.070625 0.244453 0.581918 1.114404 1.935208
2025-07-13 NaN 0.007688 0.070788 0.253132 0.612080 1.182735 2.066603
2025-07-20 NaN 0.006811 0.070306 0.260227 0.639561 1.247333 2.193343
2025-07-27 NaN 0.005351 0.066396 0.258885 0.651742 1.288398 2.286500
2025-08-03 NaN 0.004583 0.065295 0.264021 0.675683 1.347997 2.407106
2025-08-10 NaN 0.003458 0.061337 0.261629 0.685551 1.385574 2.495904
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002032 0.053410 0.247869 0.673319 1.387686 2.532403